And hey, 90% of picking college football is 1/2 skill. The other half is luck.
At this point, I'd just like to get to 50%. It's a number I creeped closer to ATS last week going 6-4, which leaves me at 36-41-1 for the season. If you've been following the "bet the opposite of what this idiot picks" strategy, I'm sorry, you lost last week. Straight up I had a great week going 10-0, which puts me at a respectable 59-20 for the year. As always, here are my takeaways from College football Week 6:
1. Oh UT-Austin. Even I didn't think they were THAT bad. I would imagine that Mack Brown is "retired" by the end of the year and UT-Austin will learn just how far it has fallen off the National radar when Saban says "Thanks....but no thanks".
2. The "trendy" pick right now is to pick OU big. But I was unimpressed with the Fighting Stoops' blah win over a not very good TCU team. I think OU will win, but I've never seen a team this confident in a blowout actually get one.
3. The PAC12 is, without a doubt, the 2nd best conference in all the land. Oregon and Stanford might be two of the better teams in the league and UCLA is for real.
4. That #SECMYTH is a 'thing' shows how little some people know about football outside of their conference. Using head-to-head matchups, typically in SEC road games, to try and determine conference strength is silly. 7 straight championships. Until someone tops that there's no discussion.
5. The 'best' college football betting rule is this: Fade #20-#25 if they're on the road. (Hat tip to Willie G for that one.)
6. Louisville might have a top 5 team, but by the end of the year, against the pathetic American Athletic Conference, we might not get a chance to find out.
7. Speaking of the Amway, this conference is going to be terrible next year. If UH can't thrive against that, with a new stadium etc. then they should possibly reconsider their focus.
8. Red River
9. I think Jerry Kill is a good man, and a hell of a football coach, but it might be time to consider shutting it down. If not for his sake then for that of his family.
And finally......
10. Yes, they beat Minnesota, but this Michigan team is still giving me the creeping horrors every time Gardner drops back to pass.
Next week should be the first week that rankings mean anything, but here's my (current) top 5:
1. Alabama - Until they get beat, they're the champions.
2. Oregon - Could this be the year we see the best offense vs. the best team?
3. Stanford - Possibly the only team with a realistic chance to beat the Ducks.
4. Clemson - Until they pull a head-scratcher and lose to someone out of the blue.
5. Ohio St - Yes, the trendy pick is FSU, but I think the Buckeyes are a little bit better.
Bottom Feeders: (In no particular order)
1. Eastern Michigan - How does Ron English (11-42 since taking over in 2009) still have a job?
2. Southern Miss - Think this team is regretting the decision to force out Jeff Bower?
3. Idaho - The Vandals are horrible, just horrible.
4. New Mexico State - This is a team with little talent, and no resources ($$$) to lure it to town.
5. Georgia State - They are winless against FCS teams this year, nevermind not being competitive against the FBS.
Look out below: If UT-Austin DOES lose badly to OU.........
