Wednesday, September 20, 2017

BadScience: The Lack of Trusted Voices Matters a LOT.

Given my history of writing, and knowing my occupation within the oil and gas industry, you might be surprised to find out that I DO believe that the Earth's climate is changing. I believe that the climate of this pebble has been changing for somewhere around 4.54 Billion years and it continues to do so today.

You may also be surprised to find out that I'm very concerned about pollution that results from modern society including, but not limited to, my very own oil and gas industry.  As you read above, I also, despite my open Christianity, believe that the Earth was NOT created 5-6,000 years ago but more like 4.54 Billion years ago and that evolution is a very real thing.

I also think that one of the worst things to happen in modern society is the politicization of pretty much everything.  This despite, for years, writing what is known by my handful of readers as being a pretty horrible politics blog.

And yes, I believe in, and appreciate, science.  Most importantly I value the scientific method and frequently mourn it's recent passing.  I mourn it because there are a lot of bad things that happen when we don't believe in science, or the scientific method, and allow our politics to dominate the conversation.

 - Vaccines (or the refusal to use them)
 - Nutrition (and the obesity epidemic)
 - Food supply (ethanol and GMO's being two examples of this)

But the things I worry most about are pollution and climate change, in that order.

When Al Gore first formed his investment group and realized that the American populace was a) sadly uneducated on the scientific method and b.) he could make a mint off of this fact, it all started to go downhill.  What followed was a movie with nine proven factual errors being given the Oscar for "Best Outstanding Documentary" and outsized influence because those of a similar political disposition liked the cut of Gore's jib.

And everyone loves a villain.

Trust me when I tell you that there is NO better villain in this world than so-called "Big Oil".  Not that they're evil, but that they operate on a massive scale, generate some fairly hefty profits at times, are primarily led by old Caucasian guys and, when accidents happen, they are whoppers.

But they usually are just that, accidents. In my over a decade working in the industry I've never heard, or been part of, conversations about harming the environment, or cutting corners to put people in harm's way.  I'm not suggesting this goes on, but most of the engineers that I've met have no desire to have their project 'in the news' or 'creating a headline'.  That's just truth.  I realize few believe it but since you probably aren't in the industry there's no way I can prove it and it probably wouldn't matter anyway.

That's because we've been conditioned, by our politicians and society, to discount information that contradicts our beliefs no matter how compelling the facts are surrounding the case.  For example:

The Climate Change Computer Models (around which there is such scientific "consensus" that they are treated as Gospel) are not accurately matching what is going on in the real world.  They neither foresaw the "pause" in heating that occurred nor are they accurately reflecting the real-world results of a decrease in carbon. This doesn't mean that human activity doesn't contribute to the change, only that it might not be the main driving force behind it.

In "scientific" circles, that makes me a "climate denier' which symbolizes my empathy and de facto agreement with Holocaust deniers according to leading scientific lights such as Neil deGrasse Tyson and Bill Nye (the Science Guy).  There are some who even suggest (seriously) that those who point this out should be arrested, sent to 'reconditioning camps' even.  I guess so that we can have the heresy beaten out of us?

But again, those two distinguished thinkers that I just referenced are less scientists now and more political activists. That's where the money and fame lie. There is also the problem that neither Tyson, or Nye are actual climate scientists.  That's right, the leading argument used by Michael Mann against those who pointed out flaws in his hockey stick diagram (namely, that they weren't climate scientists) can be leveled accurately against the two proponents of the same.

And this gets us to the point of this post (finally):

The biggest problems with climate change are not that enough resources are being spent, too few economies are being destroyed, too little money is flowing into the already sizable bank accounts of Al Gore's investment groups, too-little power is being handed over to the world government, that the poorer nations aren't getting paid enough money by the richer ones, no.  The biggest problem is that the politicization of the issue is preventing us from figuring out what we can do to deal with it rather then destroying society in a fairly useless attempt at stopping something that's been going on before man was even a single-cell organism.

The biggest problem is us.

Because we choose to listen to politicians who are simply trying to punish political enemies (and, in many cases, impede the other 'side' from fund-raising or rent-seeking), get re-elected and gain majorities at all levels over government in order to increase their power base and pay off their political patrons. We chose to forget what the scientific method really is in lieu of some neat Power Point slides and a movie or three with gee-whiz special effects. Think about this: It was a Democratic US Representative who stated she wanted to "Nationalize the US Oil companies" and you know what?  Once that happened the debate over "carbon-caused climate change" would disappear overnight.

We put too much power in the hands of functional idiots, and then we wonder why things are as they are.

We currently have a President who couldn't make a solid go of it as a casino owner in an industry that basically prints money.  And look at the US Senate. To quote Obi Wan Kenobi: "You will never find a bigger hive of scum and villainy."  And REALLY stupid people.  The House of Representatives is just as bad.  Even worse are your state-elected officials, and then your municipal and county politicians. It's an ever growing pile of incompetence, inability and utterly clueless people. (Not to mention, horribly socially awkward)  And, no, it's not the fault of everyone else, your elected representatives are just as bad.  You won't admit it in most cases because then you have to admit that you voted for them.

The worst thing about all of this is that not only have we elected low-functioning idiots to rule us (and, make no mistake about it, they're not public servants, THEY ARE RULERS in America at this point) but we're taking totally gormless entertainers seriously.

No, Jennifer Lawrence, it wasn't God who was punishing us for Donald Trump that caused the hurricanes, and no Neil deGrasse Tyson it wasn't climate change that suddenly caused them to appear.

It was primarily the Atlantic mulitdecadal oscillation.

That you haven't heard that term on a newscast, from a politician or from *snicker* Leonardo DiCaprio is everything wrong with the entire situation in one.neat.package.